In the recent past you would have correctly said that I had a very open mind regarding the many complicated issues surrounding global warming. I would have told you that I understand that the Earth is probably a degree and a half warmer today than 150 years ago, that this is not warmer than we have experienced in the past (e.g. Medieval times) but that there are people debating whether in fact that is true. I would have told you that the biggest concern in the science is that it is young, with very little recent data, and that almost all of what we know about current trends is that they are not really able to fit the hypotheses of the climate models (yes models, more on that soon), that climate forcings are subject to myriad negative and positive feedbacks and that we don’t really have a good way to model those, that the economic impacts of a warmer planet are virtually nonexistent today but have the potential to be fairly large and negative if the models are right, etc. Indeed, what has been me in the slightly alarmist camp is the possibility that our models and understanding are wrong, but in a direction opposite to what a skeptic might argue. I don’t see any reason why the models can only be wrong in one direction, but I am not of course a climate modeler.
I really was slowly going through the science to try to understand what is going on. But when I have to face a steady barrage of this nonsense it really does lead me to seriously question which part of the dog is wagging what other part. Yes, you read that link correctly, “Mental Illness Rise Linked to Climate Change.”
What a freakin’ sham. I decided to read AW Montford’s Hockey Stick Illusion. If anyone had faith in the IPCC or the character in the “consensus” climate scientists, this study will shake you to your core. I’ll blog some of it soon. In the meantime, expect to see a bit more from me on the economic aspects of the debate, and we’ll focus a little bit on the difficulty of modeling complex systems.
Mental illness! I think studying climate change causes mental illness.