Menu
Categories
If Economic Models Were Like Climate Models
August 21, 2017 Methodology

We would evaluate their success based on how well they could be fit to past economic observations. To the theory nerds out there, do you know of ANY economic models that have not, ex post, been able to back-forecast what has already happened?

"1" Comment
  1. Can you unpack your point a bit for us non economists? Are climate models more dependent on back tests or less easily falsified by future observations than economic models?

Leave a Reply
*