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Category Archive for 'Macroeconomics'

Markets are Volatile

When working properly they are. But the appropiate question is, “As compared to what?” Government policy is often lauded because it is supposedly a stabilizing influence in an otherwise turblulent world. Now I understand that stabilizing prices is not the same thing as stabilizing interest rates, but I still think the following is informative.
Every day […]

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Whither an Excess Profits Tax

What is the World’s Most Profitable Company? If you guessed Exxon-Mobil, you would, of course, be correct. But what if I asked you who was the second most profitable company? Is it:

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Can the Fed Do That?

The answer is probably no.
And you’ll get a kick out of this:
The Board is audited annually by a major public accounting firm. In addition, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) generally exercises its authority to conduct a number of reviews each year to look at specific aspects of the Federal Reserve’s activities. The audit report of […]

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Hidden Unemployment?

In many ways, today’s prevailing economic conditions are unusual given the signs of an economic slowdown. Interest rates are far below historical averages, real productivity growth remains strong, credit appears to be widely available – the “credit-crunch” notwithstanding, and the national unemployment rate is well below its post-WW II average. Is this low unemployment rate […]

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Inside 4th Quarter GDP Slowdown

Gross Domestic Product growth (GDP) slowed to an annual rate of 0.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2007 according to Thursday’s release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. AIER employs GDP as one of six coincident indicators of business cycle activity to show us where the economy actually is, and usually to provide confirmation of […]

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On the balance sheet of the U.S. Federal Reserve you will find the following line item: “Notes and bonds, inflation-indexed.”

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Read a bit more about this here. Insights and guidance, as always, appreciated. Where are markets seizing up? It does not appear to be in bank credit; it does not appear to be in the commercial paper market? Is it simply that the MBS market has frozen? Perhaps, and that does not seem to have […]

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Do You Know?

What the country with the highest GDP growth rate in 2007 was? See here. I know nothing about the place. Is it oil? Wheat? Copper? Poppies? It’s really gotta be lots of commodities … or is it something else?
Who has higher GDP, Europe or America?
Of 216 countries for which data are reported, where does the […]

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Gloom and Doom

While funny, I’ll just add that it is not necessary reflective of my view.

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Fed Hockey Stick

Read about it here.

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