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Tag Archive 'statistics'

Improbably Probable

It is relatively common to observe someone conflating the rareness of an event with the improbability of an event. Suppose you have three possible ways to spend your free time each day, and for simplicity’s sake, you have a 1/3 chance of choosing each. Further assume that your choices about what to do each day […]

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This is but one small example of why I highly recommend the book, Super Crunchers, by Ian Ayers. More to come on this excellent book. For now, here is my take on the Democratic primaries. Today is an important day in the Democratic Presidential Primary season. Barack Obama has won 11 straight primary contests over […]

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