Improbably Probable
Posted in Flotsam and Jetsam on Feb 2nd, 2011
It is relatively common to observe someone conflating the rareness of an event with the improbability of an event. Suppose you have three possible ways to spend your free time each day, and for simplicity’s sake, you have a 1/3 chance of choosing each. Further assume that your choices about what to do each day […]