My call is going to be William Nordhaus for his work broadly in Environmental Economics and more specifically on the Economics of Climate Change. I would have predicted a share with Wallace Oates had be not passed away in 2015 or William Baumol who sadly passed this year. I think it is time for Environmental Economics issues to be raised in stature, and I think the committee is going to award it in part because it messed up by not recognizing Baumol. If the prize is a share and it is kept to Environmental questions, I am not sure who I’d bet on. I guess some names would include Pindyck, Stavins, Fullerton, Greenstone …
Just wanted to put this up since I’m never right about anything. And if I am wrong, I think it is healthy to show people that too.
Why not jyotirmaya from India??
if you think it’s going to be an environmental economist I think it would probably be someone like Dasgupta and/or Heal (Nordhaus might be more likely to get it specifically for public/social discount rates but then it’ll probably be with someone like stern).
I still think it could be someone like Romer.