Of course from the always worth pondering Scott Alexander, easily my favorite blogger on the world-wide-interweb:
If a Trump victory tomorrow would convince you that X is true, I suggest that you believe X is true regardless of whether or not Trump wins, because Trump’s victory almost certainly will depend more on noise than on X. If a Hillary victory tomorrow would convince you that Y is true, I suggest that you believe Y is true regardless of whether or not Hillary wins, for the same reason. If there’s some Z that you will believe only if Trump wins but not if Hillary wins, then I suggest you seriously reconsider what thought process has led you to decide that you will flip your views on politics and society depending on whether or not there’s a rainstorm or a 2% polling error or whatever.
Oh, and I enjoyed this image posted by Scott Sumner:
🙂
8064 373848Wanted posting. Loads of superb writing here. I wish I saw it identified the website sooner. Congrats! 7368
Thanks for sharing. I read many of your blog posts, cool, your blog is very good.
25511 515868I needs to spend a while studying much more or understanding more. Thank you for fantastic info I used to be in search of this info for my mission. 885029