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Category Archive for 'Methodology'

Research Roundup

1. The mortgage crisis seems to have been due to borrowers at ALL income levels expecting house prices to rise. Google the term “predatory borrowing” … not quite consistent with the prevailing narrative. 2. This paper may in fact be carefully done, but the result suggesting more government spending even when output multipliers are tiny […]

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Here is David Friedman on the state of science and debate, using examples from Climate: I believe I have shown that John Cook, lead author of the article commonly cited for the claim that 97% of climate scientists support AGW, has lied in print about his own work. My argument assumed that Cook et. al. […]

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Type I and Type II Error

You thought I was going to talk about statistics? Not really. A good friend of mine happens to suffer from Type 1 diabetes, and one of my¬†brothers played football with someone who suffers from it. I found the following¬†information on the insulin that they must use to regulate their blood sugar and metabolism: The initial […]

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Marauding Ghoulies Cause Cancer

It seems that the burden of proof in popular argumentation is shifted to whatever favorable point we’d like to make. And believe me, people of all sides are prone to doing it. But think about some issue that causes controversy for whatever reason – climate change, eating GMO foods, vaccines and autism, and so on. […]

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Here is a good summary of the modern challenges facing philanthropists. Back when we had our student group this would have been a great topic for discussion. Aside from the obvious Hayekian concerns about knowledge and planning, the philosophical question of whether unborn future people can and should have a claim on us is difficult. […]

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I suppose I should be less inclined to do so, but when I see the term “democratic” used, that is a pretty sure signal for me to go. My hypothesis is that when you see someone invoke the term democratic in an argument, it is just shorthand for saying something closer to “undemocractic.” It seems […]

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Weekend Ponderance

Disagreeing to agree is a far better way to proceed than “agreeing to disagree” if in fact folks are having a scientific discussion. In the latter, you would be acknowledging that there are no deeper and absolute truths to seek out. In the former, you engage in argument in the same spirit as JS Mill […]

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Ask almost anyone to define “capitalism” to you and you will inevitably get a blank stare. If you try and push the question I suspect you’ll get people answering something like the way people are asked to identify “porn” … they can’t, but they know it when they see it. Except, of course, with capitalism, […]

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If the income and wealth of every single American were to double over the next decade in REAL terms, then in a decade, the amount of measured poverty would remain unchanged. You’d also very likely see no change in inequality according to the way most people talk about it, i.e. “the income share of the […]

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What data would be sufficient to falsify your thesis? This question need be asked not just in the physical science, where observations about the world are where the theoretic rubber meetings the road, but also in the social sciences. When it comes to the hard sciences, you can imagine laying out conditions that would encourage […]

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